The Data Dive: Steve Kornacki on how Kansas became a surprise midterm battleground

Welcome to The Data Dive, your subscriber-exclusive newsletter about the most consequential elections of the midterms. Every Tuesday morning, I’ll focus on the numbers, trends and data shaping the biggest stories heading into Election Day. I’ll also dig into the 2026 battlegrounds that will determine control of Congress — one district, one county, one city and maybe even one precinct at a time. Today, I analyze the race for the Senate in Kansas and where Democrats must drum up support to finally win after a 90-year drought. Let’s dive in.

For Subscribers

FOR SUBSCRIBERSThis voting bloc holds the key to the midterms

FOR SUBSCRIBERSFlorida Democrats try to regain their mojo after years of Republican dominance

FOR SUBSCRIBERSJustice Department tells employees to adopt Trump’s AI rebrand

FOR SUBSCRIBERSU.S. housing market sets a grim record as sellers swamp buyers

FOR SUBSCRIBERSFrance shuts down nearly 900 schools as violent student protests escalate

FOR SUBSCRIBERSTexts show worried Cornell fraternity brothers coordinating responses as accusations came to light

FOR SUBSCRIBERSFormer Olympic canoeist asks government watchdogs to probe ‘nightmare’ Reflecting Pool case

FOR SUBSCRIBERSA psychedelic drug could soon get approved in the U.S. What should the rules be?

FOR SUBSCRIBERSLocals called their town ‘Almost Heaven’. A plan to open a Buc-ee’s exposed its underbelly.

FOR SUBSCRIBERSBaltic nations brace for Russian attacks as border threats escalate

FOR SUBSCRIBERSLatino voters feel buyer’s remorse in battleground Texas

FOR SUBSCRIBERSTips came in just minutes after Cornell alerted students to an alleged sex assault at a frat house

FOR SUBSCRIBERSWhat’s on the Supreme Court’s docket this term?

FOR SUBSCRIBERSFord CEO says ‘it’s our responsibility’ to make sure affordable cars are sold in the U.S.

FOR SUBSCRIBERSDOJ moves to revoke U.S. citizenship for 40 foreign-born Americans

For Subscribers

FOR SUBSCRIBERSThis voting bloc holds the key to the midterms

FOR SUBSCRIBERSFlorida Democrats try to regain their mojo after years of Republican dominance

FOR SUBSCRIBERSJustice Department tells employees to adopt Trump’s AI rebrand

FOR SUBSCRIBERSU.S. housing market sets a grim record as sellers swamp buyers

FOR SUBSCRIBERSFrance shuts down nearly 900 schools as violent student protests escalate

FOR SUBSCRIBERSTexts show worried Cornell fraternity brothers coordinating responses as accusations came to light

FOR SUBSCRIBERSFormer Olympic canoeist asks government watchdogs to probe ‘nightmare’ Reflecting Pool case

FOR SUBSCRIBERSA psychedelic drug could soon get approved in the U.S. What should the rules be?

FOR SUBSCRIBERSLocals called their town ‘Almost Heaven’. A plan to open a Buc-ee’s exposed its underbelly.

FOR SUBSCRIBERSBaltic nations brace for Russian attacks as border threats escalate

FOR SUBSCRIBERSLatino voters feel buyer’s remorse in battleground Texas

FOR SUBSCRIBERSTips came in just minutes after Cornell alerted students to an alleged sex assault at a frat house

FOR SUBSCRIBERSWhat’s on the Supreme Court’s docket this term?

FOR SUBSCRIBERSFord CEO says ‘it’s our responsibility’ to make sure affordable cars are sold in the U.S.

FOR SUBSCRIBERSDOJ moves to revoke U.S. citizenship for 40 foreign-born Americans

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