Republicans feel increasingly upbeat about their chances in the midterms

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GOP strategists who spoke to NBC News said they are less worried than they were a few months ago about the Iran war and rising prices hurting their party.

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Republican strategists said they’re starting to detect a mindset among some voters, especially independents, that high prices are now to be expected, with neither party able to fix them. Graeme Sloan / Bloomberg via Getty Images

July 13, 2026, 5:14 AM EDT

By Matt Dixon

The conventional wisdom around this year’s midterm elections has been that Democrats think 2026 has the potential to be a blue wave and that Republicans quietly believe they may be right. But despite President Donald Trump’s continued unpopularity, a handful of GOP political wins have more Republicans feeling comfortable about their chances in November.

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