The Data Dive: Steve Kornacki on why 2026 isn’t like 2018

Welcome to The Data Dive, your subscriber-exclusive newsletter about the most consequential elections of the midterms. Today, I’m doing the math on how House Republicans might blunt their losses in a cycle in which Democrats are heavily favored. Let’s dive in.

For Subscribers

FOR SUBSCRIBERSWhy a wave of ‘cockroach’ protesters are defying India’s bid to stamp out their movement

FOR SUBSCRIBERSThe American consumer keeps spending. How much longer can it last?

FOR SUBSCRIBERSAttack on Saudi airport dials up pressure on D.C.

FOR SUBSCRIBERSRepublican attempts to trip up James Talarico keep backfiring

FOR SUBSCRIBERSAnother Hormuz? What to know about the Houthi threat to the Red Sea

FOR SUBSCRIBERSGOP ad buyer mixes up Portlands, spends money meant to help Maine Sen. Susan Collins in Oregon

FOR SUBSCRIBERSJane Doe’s night started with catching up. It ended with a frat party that changed everything.

FOR SUBSCRIBERS‘Trump never cared about us’: Ukraine smarts at U.S. pressure and deal with Putin

FOR SUBSCRIBERSFacing smaller crowds and low approval ratings, Trump tries to rally the base

FOR SUBSCRIBERSAcross both parties, Black candidates look to make history in governor’s races

FOR SUBSCRIBERSAbortion isn’t top of mind for voters, but Democrats are betting it could motivate their base

FOR SUBSCRIBERSFlock ‘false flags’ lead to frightening motorist encounters with police

FOR SUBSCRIBERSInside one country’s ambitious campaign to plant 50 billion trees

FOR SUBSCRIBERSOne year on, Gaza ceasefire exists ‘in name only,’ aid groups say amid near-daily Israeli strikes

FOR SUBSCRIBERSBad blood spills over in the Texas Senate race — and it’s tearing Republicans apart

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For Subscribers

FOR SUBSCRIBERSWhy a wave of ‘cockroach’ protesters are defying India’s bid to stamp out their movement

FOR SUBSCRIBERSThe American consumer keeps spending. How much longer can it last?

FOR SUBSCRIBERSAttack on Saudi airport dials up pressure on D.C.

FOR SUBSCRIBERSRepublican attempts to trip up James Talarico keep backfiring

FOR SUBSCRIBERSAnother Hormuz? What to know about the Houthi threat to the Red Sea

FOR SUBSCRIBERSGOP ad buyer mixes up Portlands, spends money meant to help Maine Sen. Susan Collins in Oregon

FOR SUBSCRIBERSJane Doe’s night started with catching up. It ended with a frat party that changed everything.

FOR SUBSCRIBERS‘Trump never cared about us’: Ukraine smarts at U.S. pressure and deal with Putin

FOR SUBSCRIBERSFacing smaller crowds and low approval ratings, Trump tries to rally the base

FOR SUBSCRIBERSAcross both parties, Black candidates look to make history in governor’s races

FOR SUBSCRIBERSAbortion isn’t top of mind for voters, but Democrats are betting it could motivate their base

FOR SUBSCRIBERSFlock ‘false flags’ lead to frightening motorist encounters with police

FOR SUBSCRIBERSInside one country’s ambitious campaign to plant 50 billion trees

FOR SUBSCRIBERSOne year on, Gaza ceasefire exists ‘in name only,’ aid groups say amid near-daily Israeli strikes

FOR SUBSCRIBERSBad blood spills over in the Texas Senate race — and it’s tearing Republicans apart

Slide 1 of 1

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