U.S. allies warn of 'hybrid warfare' after two undersea cables are cut in Baltic Sea

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A rupture in a 730-mile cable linking Germany and Finland was detected Monday, raising suspicions that it may be the latest sabotage targeting the West as it clashes with Russia.
Germany and Finland said November 18, 2024 they were "deeply concerned" that an undersea telecommunications cable linking the countries had been severed and opened a probe, at a time of high tensions with Russia.
The C-Lion1 submarine telecommunications cable being laid in the Baltic Sea in Helsinki in 2015. Heikki Saukkomaa / AFP - Getty Images file

U.S. allies warned of "hybrid warfare" Tuesday after two undersea communication cables were severed in the Baltic Sea, raising suspicions that they may be the latest acts of sabotage targeting the West as it clashes with Russia.

German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius said Tuesday that "no one believes that these cables were cut accidentally" after a rupture in a 730-mile cable linking Germany and Finland was detected Monday.

"We have to state, without knowing specifically who it came from, that it is a ‘hybrid’ action," he said. "And we also have to assume, without knowing it yet, that it is sabotage.”

Lithuania’s navy said Tuesday that it had increased monitoring of its waters after damage to a separate cable connecting the Baltic nation with Sweden’s Gotland Island was detected Sunday.

Swedish operator Arelion said Monday that it was “in contact with Swedish authorities and the Swedish Armed Forces regarding the incident.”

Later the Swedish national prosecutor’s office said in a statement that it was launching a preliminary investigation into “suspected sabotage.”

The parties involved in both ruptures all members of NATO stopped short of pointing fingers, but eyes immediately turned to Russia.

President Vladimir Putin formally lowered the threshold for his country’s use of nuclear weapons Tuesday, days after the U.S. allowed Ukraine to strike inside Russia using American missiles. And Nordic countries released new guidance advising residents on how to survive a war or a similar crisis.

“European security is not only under threat from Russia’s war of aggression against Ukraine, but also from hybrid warfare by malicious actors,” the foreign ministers of Germany and Finland said in a joint statement Monday.

A spokesperson for the U.S. State Department said that in general, U.S. officials are concerned about hybrid warfare and have been in close coordination with allies around the globe.

Western officials have accused the Kremlin of intensifying a campaign targeting Ukraine's allies while assaulting its neighbor in a war that reached 1,000 days Tuesday.

"Russia is systematically attacking European security architecture," the foreign ministers of Germany, France, Poland, Italy, Spain and the U.K. said in a joint statement.

"Moscow’s escalating hybrid activities against NATO and E.U. countries are also unprecedented in their variety and scale, creating significant security risks," they said.

"Our European security is not only under threat from Russia's war of aggression against Ukraine, but also from hybrid warfare by malicious actors," the countries' foreign ministers said in a joint statement.
The C-Lion1 submarine telecommunications cable runs between Finland and Germany.Heikki Saukkomaa / AFP - Getty Images

A Western security official told NBC News this month that Russia was responsible for sending two incendiary devices to DHL logistics hubs in Germany and the U.K. in July as part of a wider sabotage campaign to possibly start fires aboard aircraft bound for North America.

The head of Britain's intelligence agency, MI5, said last month that Russia's GRU intelligence service was on a mission to generate “sustained mayhem on British and European streets.”

Finland and Sweden have joined NATO in the past two years, bolstering the alliance’s eastern flank in the wake of Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine.

Russia has repeatedly rejected Western countries’ allegations that it is orchestrating a sabotage campaign in Europe.

Damage to other infrastructure in the Baltic Sea has raised fears of sabotage in recent years.

Explosions in September 2022 damaged Nord Stream pipelines, built to carry Russian natural gas to Germany under the Baltic Sea. The damage added to tensions over the war in Ukraine as European countries moved to wean themselves off Russian energy sources.

Who was responsible for the sabotage remains a mystery, and German prosecutors are still investigating the explosion, which sparked theories that either Ukraine or Russia might have been behind the blasts.

In August, Beijing admitted that a Chinese-owned ship damaged a critical Baltic Sea gas pipeline running between Estonia and Finland in October 2023. It said it was an accident.

Subsea cables crisscross the world beneath the oceans, but simmering tensions between Russia and Western nations has brought their geopolitical importance into sharp focus.

The telecommunications cable running between Germany and Finland that was severed, known as the C-Lion1 cable, is the only direct connection of its kind between Finland and Central Europe. It runs from the German city of Rostock to the Finnish capital, Helsinki. 

Such cables are laid by specially modified ships that carry the cables on board and slowly lay them down on the seabed. When they are damaged, divers or small submersibles are sent down to investigate any cuts before the two ends are taken to the surface for repair.

Finnish operator CINIA said Monday that the repair time for submarine cables is five to 15 days.

Escalating anxieties over Russian attacks beyond its war with Ukraine have spread through northern Europe in recent months as governments advise their residents on how to prepare for crisis.

On Monday, millions of people in Sweden began receiving pamphlets advising them on how to prepare and cope in the event of war.

"In Case of a Crisis or War" is an updated version of a pamphlet produced six years ago, but it is now twice the size with guidance about evacuation, terrorist attacks and "how to stop bleeding."

Neighboring Finland has also published new advice online about how to prepare for crisis events, and Norwegians also recently received pamphlets urging them to be prepared for war, extreme weather and other threats.

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