In another encouraging takeaway for Democrats, NBC/WSJ found that Democrats’ ground game may be paying dividends in early voting.
Obama is winning Ohioans who have already cast their ballot by a 63-37 percent margin, and they make up 1 in 5 of the poll’s respondents.
Early voting began the day before the first debate, giving Romney an opportunity to potentially bank some ballots ahead of Election Day with his strong performance, but it seems from NBC’s results that Obama still has the edge there.
Some 92 percent of voters also said their minds were made up before the debate, suggesting that Romney may have somewhat small — though still significant — base to court in the final weeks.
Meanwhile, if you really want to make your head spin with relevant but sometimes contradictory polling information but always brilliant analysis, check out Nate Silver’s column today.
What we can draw from both these pieces is that we are not yet in a situation where the tables have turned on President Obama and he is now the underdog. He is certainly NOT yet the underdog.
President Obama is still ahead in the electoral vote math and probably about even in the national popular vote.
If Biden and Obama do well tonight and next Tuesday, respectively, we can expect the President to regain a modest lead in the popular vote and solidify a lead in the electoral projections.
-Carey Fox, Segment Producer
