Expect About a Third Of Voting-Eligible Latinos In Miderms

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The Latino electorate continues to grow but the share of voting Latinos compared to those who could vote continues to underperform.
Image: U.S. Citizens Head To The Polls To Vote In Presidential Election
File photo of a polling location on November 6, 2012 in Lipan, Texas. A May 6, 2014 report by NALEO estimates only one third of eligible Latino voters will cast their ballots in the November 2014 midterms. Tom Pennington / Getty Images

A national group of Latino public officeholders is projecting that 7.83 million Hispanics will vote in this year’s November elections, about a third of those eligible.

The National Association of Latino Elected and Appointed Officials, NALEO, announced its biennial Latino vote projection Tuesday at the National Press Club.

The group expects about 25.5 million Latinos will be eligible _ meaning they are adults and citizens _ to vote this November. That would mean just about a third of the eligible Latino voters would actually vote this November.

NALEO coupled the projection with a call for Congress to pass legislation to restore voting rights protections gutted by the Supreme Court when it struck down Section 5 of the Voting Rights Act.

“This coming election we know that Latinos will continue to have an impact on elections and we want to make sure that every single one of them is able to have a full voice in our elections,” said Arturo Vargas, NALEO’s executive director.

The projected 2014 midterm turnout would make up about 8 percent of the total turnout of all racial and ethnic groups, based on NALEO's estimates.

That projection compares to a 2010 actual turnout of 6.65 million Latino voters, also 8 percent of all votes, comparable to the 2006 share, despite an expanding Latino electorate, according to Pew Hispanic Center. NALEO had projected a turnout of 6.5 million Latino votes that year.

The NALEO projection follows the launch Monday of the Latino Victory Project and a separate political action committee by actress and political activist Eva Longoria and Democratic political fundraiser Henry Muñoz III to help Latinos win elections and boost Hispanic political participation. NALEO assists Latinos already in office and also promotes political engagement and citizenship among Latinos

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