Japan's leader says he intends to stay on after election defeat, citing Trump tariff talks

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While Sunday's ballot doesn’t directly determine whether Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba’s shaky minority government falls, it heaps pressure on the embattled leader of the key U.S. ally.

Voters take part in upper house elections at a polling station in Tokyo on Sunday.Richard A. Brooks / AFP - Getty Images
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Japan’s Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba expressed his intention to stay in the position on Sunday, after his ruling Liberal Democratic Party was projected to lose its upper house majority in a key election.

Ishiba, when asked by a reporter if he intends to stay as prime minister and the ruling party leader, said “that’s right,” during a joint press interview at the party’s headquarters in Tokyo as vote counts continued.

“We are engaged in extremely critical tariff negotiations with the United States. ... We must never ruin these negotiations,” Ishiba added.

Japanese voted Sunday for seats in the smaller of the country’s two parliamentary houses.

While the ballot does not directly determine whether Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba’s shaky minority government falls, it heaps pressure on the embattled leader who also lost control of the more powerful lower house in October.

Ishiba’s Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and coalition partner Komeito needed 50 seats to retain control of the 248-seat upper chamber in an election where half the seats were up for grabs. They are forecast to secure 32 to 51 seats, the exit poll by public broadcaster NHK showed.

Other broadcasters forecast the ruling coalition would hold 41-43 seats. If the coalition holds less than 46 seats, it would mark its worst result since the coalition was formed in 1999.

That comes on top of its worst showing in 15 years in October’s lower house election, a vote which has left Ishiba’s administration vulnerable to no-confidence motions and calls from within his own party for leadership change.

Opposition parties advocating for tax cuts and tougher immigration policies look set to make gains, the exit polls showed, with rising consumer prices — particularly a jump in the cost of the staple rice — a key issue for voters.

“The LDP was largely playing defense in this election, being on the wrong side of a key voter issue,” said David Boling, a director at consulting firm Eurasia Group.

“Polls show that most households want a cut to the consumption tax to address inflation, something that the LDP opposes. Opposition parties seized on it and hammered that message home.”

The LDP have been urging for fiscal restraint, with one eye on a very jittery government bond market, as investors worry about Japan‘s ability to refinance the world’s largest debt pile.

Adding to the anxiety around the world’s fourth largest economy, Japan faces a deadline of August 1 to strike a trade deal with the United States or face punishing tariffs in its largest export market.

The populist Sanseito party looked to be one of the big winners on the night, forecast to win 10-15 seats in the chamber, up from just one held previously.

Sanseito’s ‘Japanese First’ campaign and warnings about a “silent invasion” of foreigners, have dragged once-fringe political rhetoric into the mainstream.

“I am attending graduate school but there are no Japanese around me. All of them are foreigners,” said Yu Nagai, a 25-year-old student who voted for Sanseito earlier Sunday.

“When I look at the way compensation and money are spent on foreigners, I think that Japanese people are a bit disrespected,” Nagai said after casting his ballot at a polling station in Tokyo’s Shinjuku ward.

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