How candidates who cast doubt on Biden’s 2020 victory are faring in the midterms

So far, a majority of the candidates who denied or actively cast doubt on President Joe Biden’s 2020 victory have prevailed in the midterms, although most were heavily favored to win, according to an NBC News analysis of results and past candidate statements. 

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Here's how the 268 GOP candidates who have cast doubt on the 2020 results have fared so far:

• 166 have won
• 84 have lost
• 16 are in races that have not yet been called
• 2 are in Senate races are heading to runoffs (Georgia’s Herschel Walker and Alaska’s Kelly Tshibaka, whose race is heading to ranked-choice voting runoffs)

For a sense where these candidates found success, check out these numbers:

• 154 of the candidates who won were either in races the Cook Political Report with Amy Walter rated as Solidly Republican, or in secretary of state races in GOP-leaning states (the Cook Political Report does not rate those races)
• 11 won races the Cook Political Report rated as competitive
• 1 won a Toss Up race (Republican Jen Kiggans who flipped Virginia's 2nd District)

And here's how these candidates fared by office so far:

For Subscribers

FOR SUBSCRIBERSIt’s rarely been harder for people to find new jobs

FOR SUBSCRIBERSCBP leaders cut out of Trump ad buy decision

FOR SUBSCRIBERSAmerican passenger drafted goodbye texts to her family as Flydubai plane plummeted

FOR SUBSCRIBERSCornell rape allegation pushes embattled New York prosecutor into national spotlight

FOR SUBSCRIBERSAbdul El-Sayed tries to woo MAHA voters as Democrats seek inroads with RFK’s supporters

FOR SUBSCRIBERSKratom-like substances are popping up in a typically benign supplement

FOR SUBSCRIBERSGOP super PAC increases its spending for Sen. Jon Husted in tough Ohio race

FOR SUBSCRIBERSRecords reveal tumultuous marriage between slain New York Times executive and wife

FOR SUBSCRIBERSFrom clean energy warrior to ‘wall of shame,’ James Talarico reverses on a fossil fuel money pledge

FOR SUBSCRIBERSCongressional staff planned official trip with luxury stops in Italy and France weeks before election

FOR SUBSCRIBERSA harrowing ordeal aboard an Israel-bound plane

FOR SUBSCRIBERSOpenAI CEO Sam Altman to skip congressional hearing on rogue AI agents

FOR SUBSCRIBERSKey DOJ lawyers departed Trump ‘grand conspiracy’ probe amid pressure to produce, source says

FOR SUBSCRIBERSTrump’s new AI chatbot often links to a site launched under Clinton 26 years ago

FOR SUBSCRIBERSAt MAHA summit, industry CEOs the movement once vilified take the stage

• Governor: 4 won, 10 lost, 3 are in races not yet called
• Senate: 8 won, 5 lost, 2 are in uncalled races, and 2 are heading to runoffs
• Secretary of State: 3 won, 5 lost, 2 are in uncalled races
• House: 151 won, 64 lost and 9 were in uncalled races

The failures of candidates who have denied or cast doubt on 2020 comes as Americans have voiced concerns about threats to democracy. The issue was among voters’ top concerns in recent NBC News polls. 

And 68% of voters who cast ballots in the 2022 midterms said they thought American democracy is being threatened, while 30% said it was secure, in NBC News exit polls.