MSNBC/Reuters Zogby Poll — New Hampshire

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Sen. John Kerry pulls ahead of Gov. Howard Dean by three points, as retired Gen. Wesley Clark slips back in a poll of New Hampshire voters. Read the complete results of the tracking poll conducted from Jan. 19 to Jan. 21, 2004.

If the primary were held today, for whom would you vote?
Kerry 27%
Dean 24%
Clark 15%
Edwards 8%
Lieberman 6%
Kucinich 1%
Sharpton 0%
Someone else 2%
Not sure 17%

If you had to choose today, which candidate are you leaning toward? (Asked only of those who responded "Not sure" to the first question.)
Kerry 23%
Edwards 14%
Dean 9%
Clark 7%
Lieberman 3%
Sharpton 2%
Not sure 39%

How strong is your support for the candidate you chose in the first question?
Very strong 51%
Somewhat strong 46%
Not strong 3%
Not sure 1%

If Howard Dean is the Democratic nominee, how likely is it that he will beat George Bush?
Very likely 16%
Somewhat likely 33%
Somewhat unlikely 20%
Very unlikely 24%
Not sure 6%

How likely do you think that any Democrat currently in the race could beat George Bush?
Very likely 34%
Somewhat likely 43%
Somewhat unlikely 13%
Very unlikely 6%
Not sure 3%

Overall opinion - Wesley Clark
Very favorable 21%
Somewhat favorable 47%
Somewhat unfavorable 13%
Very unfavorable 12%
Not familiar 6%
Not sure 2%

Overall opinion - Howard Dean
Very favorable 24%
Somewhat favorable 36%
Somewhat unfavorable 19%
Very unfavorable 16%
Not familiar 3%
Not sure 2%

Overall opinion - John Edwards
Very favorable 20%
Somewhat favorable 54%
Somewhat unfavorable 8%
Very unfavorable 4%
Not familiar 12%
Not sure 2%

Overall opinion - John Kerry
Very favorable 39%
Somewhat favorable 40%
Somewhat unfavorable 10%
Very unfavorable 8%
Not familiar 2%
Not sure 1%

Overall opinion - Dennis Kucinich
Very favorable 7%
Somewhat favorable 18%
Somewhat unfavorable 15%
Very unfavorable 20%
Not familiar 37%
Not sure 3%

Overall opinion - Joe Lieberman
Very favorable 11%
Somewhat favorable 40%
Somewhat unfavorable 24%
Very unfavorable 19%
Not familiar 5%
Not sure 2%

Overall opinion - Al Sharpton
Very favorable 1%
Somewhat favorable 12%
Somewhat unfavorable 20%
Very unfavorable 39%
Not familiar 26%
Not sure 2%

Zogby International conducted telephone interviews of a random sampling of 601 likely primary voters statewide over a rolling three-day period. All calls were made from Zogby International headquarters in Utica, N.Y., from Monday, January 19 through Wednesday, January 21. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Slight weights were added to party, age, education, union, and gender to more accurately reflect the voting population. Margins of error are higher in sub-groups.

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