The Democratic candidates for President in 2004 are Howard Dean, John Edwards, Richard Gephardt, John Kerry, Dennis Kucinich, Carol Mosley-Braun, Joe Lieberman, Al Sharpton, and Wesley Clark? If the caucus were held today, for whom would you vote?
Dean 28%
Gephardt 23%
Kerry 17%
Edwards 14%
Kucinich 3%
Clark 2%
Lieberman 1%
Mosley-Braun 1%
Sharpton .1%
Someone else 1%
Not sure 12%
From the same list, who would be your second choice…
Kerry 21%
Dean 17%
Gephardt 15%
Edwards 15%
Clark 5%
Lieberman 1%
Kucinich 3%
Mosley-Braun 1%
Sharpton .1%
Someone else 1%
Not sure 20%
If you had to choose today, which candidate are you leaning toward? (Asked only of those who responded "Not sure" to the first question.)
Dean 14%
Gephardt 14%
Edwards 7%
Kerry 6%
Clark 2%
Not sure 58%
How strong is your support for the candidate you chose in the first question?
Very strong 61%
Somewhat strong 36%
Not strong 3%
Not sure 1%
If Howard Dean is the Democratic nominee, how likely is it that he will beat George Bush?
Very likely 27%
Somewhat likely 39%
Somewhat unlikely 18%
Very unlikely 12%
Not sure 5%
How likely do you think that any Democrat currently in the race could beat George Bush?
Very likely 38%
Somewhat likely 46%
Somewhat unlikely 9%
Very unlikely 4%
Not sure 3%
Overall opinion - Wesley Clark
Very favorable 11%
Somewhat favorable 27%
Somewhat unfavorable 12%
Very unfavorable 13%
Not familiar 35%
Not sure 2%
Overall opinion - Howard Dean
Very favorable 32%
Somewhat favorable 38%
Somewhat unfavorable 11%
Very unfavorable 12%
Not familiar 5%
Not sure 2%
Overall opinion - John Edwards
Very favorable 29%
Somewhat favorable 38%
Somewhat unfavorable 8%
Very unfavorable 4%
Not familiar 18%
Not sure 3%
Overall opinion - Richard Gephardt
Very favorable 36%
Somewhat favorable 38%
Somewhat unfavorable 9%
Very unfavorable 8%
Not familiar 7%
Not sure 3%
Overall opinion - John Kerry
Very favorable 35%
Somewhat favorable 40%
Somewhat unfavorable 9%
Very unfavorable 6%
Not familiar 9%
Not sure 2%
Overall opinion - Dennis Kucinich
Very favorable 9%
Somewhat favorable 18%
Somewhat unfavorable 13%
Very unfavorable 13%
Not familiar 46%
Not sure 2%
Overall opinion - Joe Lieberman
Very favorable 6%
Somewhat favorable 32%
Somewhat unfavorable 23%
Very unfavorable 22%
Not familiar 15%
Not sure 3%
Overall opinion - Carol Mosley-Braun
Very favorable 7%
Somewhat favorable 20%
Somewhat unfavorable 10%
Very unfavorable 16%
Not familiar 45%
Not sure 2%
Overall opinion - Al Sharpton
Very favorable 4%
Somewhat favorable 12%
Somewhat unfavorable 14%
Very unfavorable 29%
Not familiar 39%
Not sure 2%
Zogby International conducted telephone interviews of a random sampling of about 500 likely caucus voters statewide. All calls were made from Zogby International headquarters in Utica, N.Y., from Saturday (1/10/04) through Monday (1/12/04). The margin of error is +/- 4.5%. Slight weights were added to party, age, education, union, and gender to more accurately reflect the voting population. Margins of error are higher in sub-groups.
