The Democratic candidates for President in 2004 are Howard Dean, John Edwards, Richard Gephardt, John Kerry, Dennis Kucinich, Carol Mosley-Braun, Joe Lieberman, Al Sharpton, and Wesley Clark? If the caucus were held today, for whom would you vote?
Dean 26%
Gephardt 23%
Kerry 16%
Edwards 12%
Clark 2%
Lieberman 2%
Kucinich 3%
Mosley-Braun 1%
Sharpton 1%
Someone else 1%
Not sure 14%
From the same list, who would be your second choice…
Kerry 21%
Dean 21%
Gephardt 15%
Edwards 13%
Clark 5%
Lieberman 2%
Kucinich 2%
Mosley-Braun 1%
Sharpton 1%
Someone else 1%
Not sure 20%
If you had to choose today, which candidate are you leaning toward? (Asked only of those who responded "Not sure" to the first question.)
Dean 17%
Gephardt 15%
Edwards 9%
Kerry 7%
Kucinich 1%
Not sure 51%
How strong is your support for the candidate you chose in the first question?
Very strong 61%
Somewhat strong 37%
Not strong 2%
Not sure 1%
If Howard Dean is the Democratic nominee, how likely is it that he will beat George Bush?
Very likely 26%
Somewhat likely 39%
Somewhat unlikely 16%
Very unlikely 13%
Not sure 7%
How likely do you think that any Democrat currently in the race could beat George Bush?
Very likely 37%
Somewhat likely 45%
Somewhat unlikely 10%
Very unlikely 5%
Not sure 4%
Overall opinion - Wesley Clark
Very favorable 11%
Somewhat favorable 24%
Somewhat unfavorable 11%
Very unfavorable 13%
Not familiar 39%
Not sure 2%
Overall opinion - Howard Dean
Very favorable 32%
Somewhat favorable 36%
Somewhat unfavorable 10%
Very unfavorable 12%
Not familiar 8%
Not sure 2%
Overall opinion - John Edwards
Very favorable 29%
Somewhat favorable 35%
Somewhat unfavorable 8%
Very unfavorable 5%
Not familiar 21%
Not sure 2%
Overall opinion - Richard Gephardt
Very favorable 37%
Somewhat favorable 37%
Somewhat unfavorable 9%
Very unfavorable 6%
Not familiar 8%
Not sure 3%
Overall opinion - John Kerry
Very favorable 36%
Somewhat favorable 37%
Somewhat unfavorable 8%
Very unfavorable 7%
Not familiar 11%
Not sure 2%
Overall opinion - Dennis Kucinich
Very favorable 8%
Somewhat favorable 18%
Somewhat unfavorable 11%
Very unfavorable 11%
Not familiar 49%
Not sure 2%
Overall opinion - Joe Lieberman
Very favorable 6%
Somewhat favorable 29%
Somewhat unfavorable 24%
Very unfavorable 22%
Not familiar 16%
Not sure 3%
Overall opinion - Carol Mosley-Braun
Very favorable 9%
Somewhat favorable 16%
Somewhat unfavorable 9%
Very unfavorable 16%
Not familiar 48%
Not sure 2%
Overall opinion - Al Sharpton
Very favorable 4%
Somewhat favorable 12%
Somewhat unfavorable 15%
Very unfavorable 26%
Not familiar 39%
Not sure 3%
Zogby International conducted telephone interviews of a random sampling of about 500 likely caucus voters statewide. All calls were made from Zogby International headquarters in Utica, N.Y., from Friday (1/9/04) thru Sunday (1/11/04). The margin of error is +/- 4.5%. Slight weights were added to party, age, education, union, and gender to more accurately reflect the voting population. Margins of error are higher in sub-groups.
