When President Trump has held MAGA rallies in the past, he’s typically done so on friendly turf – either in red states or red communities.

But tonight’s visit to El Paso could very well be most politically hostile ground of his presidency. While Trump won Texas by 9 percentage points in 2016, he lost El Paso County by more than 40 points, 69 percent to 26 percent. 

(By comparison,Trump lost Harris County—the site of his 2018 rally in Houston to support Ted Cruz's Senate reelection— by 12 points in 2016, 54 percent to 42 percent.)

What’s more, Trump’s characterization of El Paso as a “dangerous” city in his State of the Union address—when it’s been one of the safest large cities in the country, according to crime statistics—has drawn bipartisan condemnation.

Here was El Paso’s Republican mayor, Dee Margo, after the president’s State of the Union: