Are President Donald Trump’s policies bringing down grocery bills?
Grocery prices have been on the rise for most of the past six years, as the war in Iran, supply chain bottlenecks, the war in Ukraine and excessive profit-taking here in the U.S. have put a strain on consumers’ wallets.
Trump campaigned heavily on the price of food in 2024, promising that if elected he would lower costs. Has that happened? To find out, NBC News is tracking the average grocery price of eggs, ground beef, and other common grocery-basket goods.
The average price of eggs — a frequent stand-in for inflation during the campaign — have declined from a spring 2025 peak and are now down 31% since Trump took office last year. Average orange juice prices are up 20% and ground beef prices are up 18% from January 2025.
Since 2021, NBC News has monitored the average point-of-sale price for eggs, chicken, bread, ground beef and other common grocery items. The graphic below shows their current average prices, along with how much those prices have changed since Trump took office in 2025.
The grocery price data, provided by the global marketing research firm NIQ, is collected from real checkout prices paid nationwide at grocery stores, drugstores, mass merchandisers, selected dollar stores, selected warehouse clubs and military commissaries.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics’ monthly consumer price index, which uses human data collectors and includes other food product categories, is another resource for average price data.
This article will be updated twice each month.
